France's Economic Growth Forecast Remains Modest at 0.8% in 2025 Amid Global Slowdown

The OECD’s latest Economic Outlook projects a challenging economic environment globally in 2025, with France expected to grow by only 0.8% – a figure reflective of a broader slowdown within the Eurozone and OECD member countries.

Globally, the OECD forecasts a growth rate of 3.2% for 2025, but this masks significant disparities by region. For instance, the Eurozone is anticipated to see growth of just 1.3%, with France’s 0.8% notably below even this modest pace. In comparison, the United States is expected to grow 2%, albeit down from 2024, due to factors including reduced employment growth and tariff impacts on prices. China maintains a steady growth rate of 5%, though it still faces trade uncertainties and risks tied to overcapacity.

A key takeaway from the OECD report is the widening growth gap between OECD member countries and non-members; the latter group averages growth of 4.4%, with countries like India surpassing 6%. The slower growth in many OECD nations, including France, is attributed to a decline in productivity gains and an increasingly complex regulatory environment. The report highlights that regulatory burdens have accumulated over decades in countries such as the U.S., Canada, Australia, and France, restraining economic dynamism.

To address these challenges, the OECD advocates for substantial deregulation efforts to streamline existing rules and reduce administrative hurdles. This measure aims to foster more vibrant economic activity and reverse the stagnation evident in many developed economies.

These projections and recommendations frame France’s economic outlook within the wider context of global and regional trends, underscoring both the resilience and constraints of its growth path as 2025 concludes.