Bank of France Upgrades Growth Forecasts Amid Economic Resilience Despite Political Challenges

The Bank of France has raised growth forecasts for 2025-2026, underscoring economic resilience but highlighting losses due to political and budgetary uncertainties.

    Key details

  • • Growth forecasts have been revised upward to 0.9% for 2025 and 1% for 2026 by the Bank of France.
  • • Political and budgetary uncertainties cost France at least 0.2 points of growth.
  • • A 0.2-point growth increase can yield an extra 6 billion euros for the economy.
  • • The budget deficit is identified as the primary challenge for France's economic prospects.

François Villeroy de Galhau, Governor of the Bank of France, highlighted the resilience of the French economy while emphasizing that current economic performance remains insufficient. In an interview, he announced the Bank's upward revision of growth forecasts to 0.9% for 2025 and 1% for 2026, increasing from previous estimates of 0.7% and 0.9% respectively. According to Villeroy, a 0.2-point increase in growth could translate into an additional 6 billion euros for France, which would enhance jobs, purchasing power, and public revenues crucial for deficit reduction.

Villeroy credited the determination of entrepreneurs and the French workforce for supporting the economy despite political instability. However, he warned that political and budgetary uncertainties are currently costing France at least 0.2 points of growth. The Governor stressed the importance of resolving the country's budget deficit, describing it as the "number one disease" affecting France's economic potential.

This revised outlook reflects cautious optimism linked with the need to address fiscal stability to sustain and improve France's economic trajectory in the coming years.

This article was synthesized and translated from native language sources to provide English-speaking readers with local perspectives.

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