Banque de France Forecasts Continued Economic Growth for Q3 2025

The Banque de France projects continued economic growth for France in Q3 2025, driven by consumer and industrial recovery.

Key Points

  • • French GDP expected to grow by 0.3% in Q3 2025.
  • • Recovery in household consumption and industrial sectors key to growth.
  • • Banque de France emphasizes resilience against external economic pressures.
  • • Continued monitoring of economic trends to support policy adjustments.

The French economy is set to continue its growth trajectory in the third quarter of 2025, according to a recent report from the Banque de France. The central bank's analysis highlights that anticipated GDP growth will be driven by a recovery in household consumption and a robust performance in the industrial and service sectors. The report suggests that while uncertainties surrounding global economic conditions persist, France's internal dynamics are strong enough to foster steady growth.

Specifically, the Banque de France expects GDP to grow by approximately 0.3% during this period. This prediction reflects an optimistic outlook, focusing on the resilience of consumer spending and ongoing investment projects across various sectors. Furthermore, despite external challenges, including inflationary pressures, the French economy is projected to withstand these shocks due to strong domestic demand.

"The recovery in consumer confidence and subsequent spending is a critical factor impacting our growth forecast," said a spokesperson from the Banque de France. The institution is carefully monitoring evolving economic trends and remains committed to adjusting its policies to support growth.

As France heads into Q3, the central bank's report underscores a cautiously optimistic sentiment about the nation's economic outlook, fostering confidence among investors and policymakers alike. Analysts will be looking closely to see if these growth predictions materialize as the broader European economy faces uncertainties.