Global Economic Growth Projections for 2025: France's Stagnation Amid Resilience

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) forecasts global economic growth at 3.0% for 2025, with a slight uptick expected to 3.1% in 2026, despite ongoing international uncertainty. Despite this optimistic outlook for the global economy, France's growth forecast remains starkly unchanged at a modest 0.6% for the same year. This stands in contrast to neighboring Germany, which has seen a slight improvement in its forecast to 0.1%.

Notably, the IMF’s revision reflects adjustments in other key economies. The growth projection for China has been notably revised upward, now estimated at 4.8%, benefiting from a reduction in US-China tariffs. Conversely, Russia is facing tougher times, with its growth forecast cut down to 0.9%, a decline linked to restrictive monetary policies and a drop in oil prices, as articulated by Petya Koeva Brooks, the IMF's deputy director of research.

The slight increases for the United States and the eurozone, raised to 1.9% and 1.0% respectively, contrast sharply with France's stagnant growth forecast. This indicates that while some major economies are adapting positively to current conditions, France may continue to struggle amid a broader recovery. Observers are urging French policymakers to consider strategies that could stimulate domestic growth, further emphasizing the need for targeted economic measures to overcome stagnation.